Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.145693 0.170475 0.197728 0.229859 0.266638 0.307353 0.355768
2026-02-01 0.101821 0.134394 0.174151 0.225937 0.291265 0.370563 0.473687
2026-02-08 0.077497 0.112149 0.157906 0.222082 0.308977 0.421638 0.577681
2026-02-15 0.060019 0.093989 0.141950 0.213517 0.316252 0.456798 0.661599
2026-02-22 0.052937 0.088549 0.141691 0.225114 0.350667 0.529969 0.801974
2026-03-01 0.043325 0.077298 0.130799 0.218979 0.357797 0.564231 0.889398
2026-03-08 0.035465 0.067288 0.120019 0.210991 0.360304 0.590770 0.966465
2026-03-15 0.029785 0.059871 0.112149 0.206227 0.366655 0.622796 1.053484
2026-03-22 0.026513 0.056140 0.109855 0.210209 0.387194 0.678247 1.180981
2026-03-29 0.024448 0.054296 0.110545 0.219250 0.416836 0.750442 1.340591
2026-04-05 0.022052 0.051365 0.108775 0.223494 0.438275 0.810352 1.483968
2026-04-12 0.019601 0.047885 0.105435 0.224289 0.453359 0.860243 1.613585
2026-04-19 0.017298 0.044381 0.101684 0.224054 0.466901 0.909214 1.746697
2026-04-26 0.015061 0.040626 0.096911 0.221230 0.475284 0.949723 1.868201
2026-05-03 0.013079 0.037083 0.092047 0.217543 0.481439 0.986355 1.985017
2026-05-10 0.011050 0.033009 0.085388 0.209146 0.477136 1.002729 2.065171
2026-05-17 0.010581 0.032872 0.087687 0.220530 0.514473 1.101518 2.307192
2026-05-24 0.009120 0.029769 0.082529 0.214508 0.514487 1.127173 2.410389
2026-05-31 0.007768 0.026676 0.076910 0.206668 0.509666 1.142557 2.494209
2026-06-07 0.006754 0.024349 0.072855 0.201992 0.511265 1.170913 2.605455
2026-06-14 0.006236 0.023429 0.072337 0.205900 0.532616 1.241716 2.807173
2026-06-21 0.005961 0.023231 0.073736 0.214774 0.566217 1.340649 3.072807
2026-06-28 0.005529 0.022422 0.073326 0.218939 0.589051 1.417946 3.297883